Saturday, March 24, 2007

Significant statistically: those 800 odd people do not represent us

For the so called election in HK

Total eligible votes: 795
Total votes cast: 772

Leung=123: 16%
Tsang= 649: 84%

if the invalid votes are assumed as for protesting against Tsang, then it would be 18%:82%

Now, if we believe the poll is correct, it is more like 21:62 OR 25%:75%. The margin of error of these surveys are usually only a few percentage point (e.g. 3%).

There is no way the 2 results would overlap.


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